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Prices is climbed litre, how will be 08 new semilate rice deduced
From;  Author:Stand originally
Publish data according to national statistic bureau, CPI of January portion our country rises this year 7.1% hind begin month by month to rise, feburary 8.7% , march 8.3% , april 8.5% , begin later slowly fall after a rise, was in May 7.7% , june 7.1% , began to drop July 6.3% . So far, total level of price of consumption of dweller of 1-7 month accumulative total rises compared to the same period 7.7% , still be in relative to higher growth rate.
So, will policy of macroscopical adjusting control make state of second half of the year what kind of adjust? On July 25, conference of the Political Bureau of Central Committee of Communist Party of China puts forward clearly, the first job of macroscopical adjusting control, from before " double prevent " (prevent economic overheat, prevent inflation) adjust for " protect accuse " (maintain economy prices of stable rapidder development, control rises too quickly) , from this, can see second half of the year is macroscopical the key of adjusting control is to will be transferred " prevent inflation " above come. And one of main reasons that bring about inflation to go tall continuously are grain price rise, as we have learned, july, commissariat price still rose 8.6% , august, although oil price somewhat fall after a rise, but what price of new early rice leaves high to go high is strong also the will strong commissariat that prop up is overall the price, and the tradition is in to consume busy season in 9-10 month commissariat, new round-grained nonglutinous rice and in late rice price also is sure to be in the position that opens high. Accordingly, the author thinks, city state is opposite after commissariat kind control strategy restrains apt grain price to increase rate, make grain price is in a slow growth posture, speed control is in can bear limits and so on.
In early rice Gao Kaigao goes, price of unprocessed food grains is strong and firm medium the situation that rise issues dish of screw on, how will be price of new semilate rice deduced 8 years? The author and undertake an analysis from the following.
8 years semilate rice of domestic main province cultivates area circumstance
From the point of circumstance of in former years, the long-grained nonglutinous rice in home basically cultivates province to be Sichuan, Hubei, Anhui, Chongqing, Yunnan, Guizhou 5 province, area of Hunan, Jiangxi a few cultivating. Price of the long-grained nonglutinous rice in the influence goes of situation basically be Sichuan, Hubei, Anhui 3 province. Below, from this year the beginning of the year of hall of each province agriculture investigates data to show, this year, long-grained nonglutinous rice grows an area in firm in have decrease, predicting crop and on year keep balance. Particular case is as follows:
Sichuan area, in recent years, sichuan paddy produces per year a quantity to be controlled in 30 billion jins, give priority to with the long-grained nonglutinous rice in production, basically center Yu Na to fill, Dazhou, wide how, wait for the eastpart part to produce a division rather then. Suffer dry weather effect, 2006, Sichuan rice crop made an appointment with 27.82 billion jins respectively 2007, 29.42 billion jins, appear certain extent reduction of output. According to Sichuan province door of Ministry of Agriculture investigates data to show, sichuan paddy sowed an area to make an appointment with 29.5 million mus 2008, with keep balance basically 2007.
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